However, some leading economists think the return to the standard rate is justified or even necessary. After all, the COVID-19 pandemic that gave rise to the interim situation is now over. ‘The tax reduction was a measure taken during the pandemic to prop up the hospitality industry, which was hit hard by the crisis’, Clemens Fuest, President of the Munich-based Ifo Institute, told Handelsblatt. ‘The pandemic is long over, so the relief effort should end‘.
The President of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW), Marcel Fratzscher, also sees no need to implement the temporary VAT reduction permanently: " During the Corona pandemic, the hospitality industry was hit particularly hard by the closures, which justified the VAT reduction. But in the current state, there is no good reason why the hospitality industry should benefit from a permanent reduction in VAT, while other industries such as hotels or retail industry shops do not‘. [source]
Some politicians are also critical of the reduced VAT rate. ‘It will be difficult to further prioritise these additional funds that are in the billions’, the Tourism Coordinator for the German Government Dieter Janecek told Der Spiegel.
What VAT rate is appropriate is a question that politicians in Germany must now address. More and more voices are coming out to influence the federal government’s decision.
‘The politicians in Berlin are unfamiliar with the facts on the ground. Economists also live in their own data-driven bubble`, says Martin Behle, Chief HoReCa Officer of METRO AG and emphasises: The debate always revolves around the stereotype of the successful pub in the city centre where purchasing power is high. But the classic country inn, the small village tavern, is dying. The tax increase will only fan the flames. It will be the final nail in the coffin‘. [source] Behle makes it clear: ‘As long as there is no clear political consensus on the continuation of the 7% VAT and the trend is more towards 19%, we as an industry will not be quiet’.